Increase in Lockpick Droprate? - Guild Wars Forums

Casey5191 · Mar 17, 2011, 08:59 AM // 08:59

Has anyone else noticed an increase in the droprate of lockpicks? I've found 7 lockpicks in the past 2 hours. Normally i might get 1 in 2 hours.

Hobbs · Mar 17, 2011, 10:10 AM // 10:10

Doing the ZB yesterday I only got 2 drops and both were Lockpicks. Pretty sure it's just chance b

Mindtrust · Mar 17, 2011, 10:16 AM // 10:16

pure luck / randomness
yesterday i got 3 black dyes in from killing 10 foes, before that it was months since i had a black dye and today its back to normal not a single black dye in sight

Concerning lockpicks i seem to have a normal rate every 50-100 kill or so i get one.

majoho · Mar 17, 2011, 10:22 AM // 10:22

Quote:

Originally Posted by Casey5191

Has anyone else noticed an increase in the droprate of lockpicks? I've found 7 lockpicks in the past 2 hours. Normally i might get 1 in 2 hours.

Haven't played in a while but the last week I have played 20 hours or so and I've not had one lockpick drop at all. (all in HM)

Casey5191 · Mar 17, 2011, 10:24 AM // 10:24

yeah i figured it was just randomness. just thought i'd make sure.

matter of time · Mar 17, 2011, 10:28 AM // 10:28

it's totally random from the point of the person playing the game.
Ecto droped from 3 consequitve mobs ... omg ... ecto drop increased incerdibly ! ...
no ecto from mobs during a full run ... omg ... the reduced the ecto drop rate ...!

jimbo32 · Mar 17, 2011, 10:32 AM // 10:32

My Derv got six picks earlier this week playing through 4 or 5 EotN missions (probably
3-4 hours). I thought it was a bit much to be a coincidence - even double-drop weekends aren't that noticeable. I guess it could be random luck though. *shrug*

jray14 · Mar 17, 2011, 10:57 AM // 10:57

I noticed a huge spike in the lockpick droprate a few hours ago too. I think since they ran out of clovers and ale, they tripled lockpicks instead.

Chocolate_Prayers · Mar 17, 2011, 12:24 PM // 12:24

must be the luck o' the irish

Though I must admit, I did get quite an abnormal amount of lockpicks today.. chances are it really is just coincidence..

**cosyfiep** · Mar 17, 2011, 02:20 PM // 14:20

tons of 'special' weekend stuff and NOT much of ANYTHING else

so yeah not a single pick this week.

Captain Bulldozer · Mar 17, 2011, 06:29 PM // 18:29

FYI: most people have a distorted view of randomness. It's actually quite common for random events with low probabilities to cluster together. In a game environment, where things are determined by a "random" number generator of some kind, true randomness is hard to obtain, but quite a few RNG programs get close. I'm not sure which one GW uses, but it seems to be pretty good in my experience. So once again, don't be surprised when rare events cluster together, its known phenomenon in probability theory and doesn't indicate any change to the underlying probabilities.

Mar 17, 2011, 08:59 AM // 08:59	#1
Casey5191 Pre-Searing Cadet Join Date: Feb 2008 Guild: Indication of Hostility [ioh] Profession: Me/	Increase in Lockpick Droprate? Has anyone else noticed an increase in the droprate of lockpicks? I've found 7 lockpicks in the past 2 hours. Normally i might get 1 in 2 hours.

Mar 17, 2011, 02:20 PM // 14:20	#10
cosyfiep are we there yet? Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: in a land far far away Guild: guild? I am supposed to have a guild? Profession: Rt/	tons of 'special' weekend stuff and NOT much of ANYTHING else so yeah not a single pick this week. __________________ where is the 'all you can eat' cookie bar?

Mar 17, 2011, 10:10 AM // 10:10	#2
Hobbs Desert Nomad Join Date: May 2006 Guild: Organised Spam [OS] Profession: W/	Doing the ZB yesterday I only got 2 drops and both were Lockpicks. Pretty sure it's just chance b

Mar 17, 2011, 10:16 AM // 10:16	#3
Mindtrust Wilds Pathfinder Join Date: May 2005 Location: Stockholm, Sweden Guild: Wolffestar Clan - WSC Profession: Mo/	pure luck / randomness yesterday i got 3 black dyes in from killing 10 foes, before that it was months since i had a black dye and today its back to normal not a single black dye in sight Concerning lockpicks i seem to have a normal rate every 50-100 kill or so i get one.

Mar 17, 2011, 10:24 AM // 10:24	#5
Casey5191 Pre-Searing Cadet Join Date: Feb 2008 Guild: Indication of Hostility [ioh] Profession: Me/	yeah i figured it was just randomness. just thought i'd make sure.

Mar 17, 2011, 10:28 AM // 10:28	#6
matter of time Academy Page Join Date: Oct 2010	it's totally random from the point of the person playing the game. Ecto droped from 3 consequitve mobs ... omg ... ecto drop increased incerdibly ! ... no ecto from mobs during a full run ... omg ... the reduced the ecto drop rate ...!

Mar 17, 2011, 10:32 AM // 10:32	#7
jimbo32 Site Contributor Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: Canada Guild: Gentlemens Club [GC] Profession: W/	My Derv got six picks earlier this week playing through 4 or 5 EotN missions (probably 3-4 hours). I thought it was a bit much to be a coincidence - even double-drop weekends aren't that noticeable. I guess it could be random luck though. shrug

Mar 17, 2011, 10:57 AM // 10:57	#8
jray14 Krytan Explorer Join Date: May 2005 Location: NC, USA Guild: Ohm Mahnee Pedmay [Hoom]	I noticed a huge spike in the lockpick droprate a few hours ago too. I think since they ran out of clovers and ale, they tripled lockpicks instead.

Mar 17, 2011, 12:24 PM // 12:24	#9
Chocolate_Prayers Lion's Arch Merchant Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Australia Profession: Mo/	must be the luck o' the irish Though I must admit, I did get quite an abnormal amount of lockpicks today.. chances are it really is just coincidence..

Mar 17, 2011, 06:29 PM // 18:29	#11
Captain Bulldozer Wilds Pathfinder Join Date: Jan 2008 Guild: Servants of the Dragon Flames [SODF]	FYI: most people have a distorted view of randomness. It's actually quite common for random events with low probabilities to cluster together. In a game environment, where things are determined by a "random" number generator of some kind, true randomness is hard to obtain, but quite a few RNG programs get close. I'm not sure which one GW uses, but it seems to be pretty good in my experience. So once again, don't be surprised when rare events cluster together, its known phenomenon in probability theory and doesn't indicate any change to the underlying probabilities.